You should check out this fun little ESPN online toy. It projects the playoff field based on your picks for the remaining four weeks, as well as a number of factors such as home field, offensive ranking, or power rankings. It's definitely helping me procrastinate tonight, at THE SPOT (see picture).
FYI: According to Defensive rankings, the Bears would be the #1 seed. According to Power Rankings, they would be out of the playoffs. If there's one thing I know about Lovie Smith teams, it's that they feed off a lack of respect. So, expect victory.
My projections, by the way, have the Bears losing at New England this week, then beating the Vikings and Jets, setting up a thrilling battle in Green Bay where the winner gets home-field for at least one game (the 2 or 3 seed) and the loser comes in as the last wild card.