Wednesday, September 7, 2011

Week 1 Predictions

Week 1 starts tomorrow, so I'm pumped. As a result, I'm going to make some predictions:

NFL MVP: Matt Forte
Offensive Player of the Year: Matt Forte
Defensive Player of the Year: Julius Peppers
Offensive Rookie of the Year: Cam Newton (only because of shear playing time)
Defensive Rookie of the Year: Vonn Miller

Sacks the Bears offensive line gives up: 29 sacks

Jay Cutler: 320/500 4,171 yards 35 tds 13 ints 200 rushing yards 2 rushing tds

Matt Forte: 294 carries 1,453 yards 4.9 ypc 15 rushing tds 45 receptions 611 yards receiving 9 tds
Marion Barber: 123 carries 527 yards 4 rushing tds 15 receptions 200 yards 1 td

Roy Williams: 26 catches 375 yards 3 tds 4 drops in first two games finds himself at bottom of depth chart
Devin Hester: 46 receptions 580 yards 4 tds
Earl Bennett: 75 catches 1,127 yards 7 tds
Johnny Knox: 41 catches 593 yards 4 tds
Dane Sazenbacher: 17 catches 239 yards 1 td
Sam Hurd: 10 catches 87 yards
Kyle Adams: 7 catches 50 yards
Kellen Davis: 23 catches 245 yards 5 tds
Matt Spaeth: 15 catches 64 yards 1 td


Julius Peppers 14 sacks
Henry Melton 5.5 sacks
Amobi Okoye 3.5 sacks
Israel Idonije 5 sacks
Corey Wooten 7 sacks
Stephen Paea 3 sacks
Matt Toeania 3.5 sacks
Anthony Adams 1.5 sacks
Mario Addison 2 sacks
Brian Urlacher 3 sacks
Lance Briggs 2 sacks
Remainder of defense: 3 sacks

Total sacks: 53


Brandon Merriweather 5 picks
Charles Tillman 4 picks
DJ Moore 4 picks
Chris Harris 4 picks
Tim Jennings 2 picks
Brian Urlacher 2 picks
Lance Briggs 1 pick

Rest of the Defense: 3 picks

Total Interceptions: 25

Fumble Recovered: 15

Total Takeaways: 40
Total Turnovers: 28
Turnover Differential: +12

Devin Hester: 3 Punt Returns for a TD

Okay, now on to the Bears Falcons Game Prediction:

The Falcons are solid team, but they don't have a good pass rush nor any real depth at corner beyond their starters. The Bears' corners could be better, and at times the Bears lack consistent pressure. However, both teams' offense tend to rely on the run. The difference between these two teams is the fact that the Bears have the better defense and special teams, as well as will attack down field more often. The Falcons are stronger at WR and on their o-line. The running game is about a wash for both teams. The Falcons' tend to make short quick throws. Ultimately, I see the Falcons being able to move the ball between 30 yard lines, but getting stiffled. I see the Falcons settling for field goals. Meanwhile, I see the Bears' wide receiver's speed and the Falcons' poor pass rush being the difference in this game. The Bears will hit one or two huge plays down the field that will make the difference in this game, and they will be able to control the game on the ground more than the Falcons, since the Bears have the better run defense.

Final Score: Bears 27 Falcons 16

Matt Ryan 21-33 217 yards 1 td 1 int
Jay Cutler 20-28 318 yards 2 tds 1 int

Michael Turner 18 carries 58 yards 3.22 ypc 1 fumble lost
Jason Snelling 4 carries 16 yards 4 ypc

Matt Forte 24 carries 102 yards 4.25 ypc 1 td
Marion Barber 8 carries 30 yards 3.75 ypc

Roddy White 8 catches 111 yards 1 td
Tony Gonzalez 5 catches 50 yards
Michael Jenkins 2 catches 11 yards
Julio Jones 2 catches 14 yards
Jason Snelling 3 catches 24 yards
Michael Turner 1 catches 7 yards

Earl Bennett 6 catches 75 yards
Roy Williams 4 catches 64 yards 1 td (2 drops)
Devin Hester 4 catches 87 yards
Johnny Knox 2 catches 51 yards 1 td
Matt Forte 2 catches 23 yards
Marion Barber 1 catches 11 yards
Kellen Davis 1 catch 7 yards

Now, on to my Week 1 game predictions, home team in caps:

GREENBAY over Saints
CHICAGO over Atlanta
CLEVELAND over Cincinnati
Buffalo over KANSAS CITY
Philadelphia over ST. LOUIS
TAMPA BAY over Detroit
Tennessee over JACKSONVILLE
BALTIMORE over Pittsburgh
HOUSTON over Indianapolis
ARIZONA over Carolina
SAN DIEGO over Minnesota
SAN FRANCISCO over Seattle
WASHINGTON over New York Giants
NEW YORK JETS over Dallas
New England over MIAMI
DENVER over Oakland


  1. I think I agree with 90% of this, except Andy Dalton wins the Rookie of the Year.

    Suprise of the Week. St Louis over Philly.

  2. Blaine Gabbert = Rookie of the Year.

    I love your optimism... I'll try and get some fantasy-geared predictions up here tomorrow.